Maghery Country Park (County Armagh) weather

Headline:

Rain initially. Turning dry, bright from west from late morning.

Today:

A cloudy start with occasional rain, this heaviest, most persistent to the north of Lough Neagh. Dry and brightening conditions feeding to the west late morning, before extending to the rest of the Province early afternoon. Winds strong at first. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Tonight:

Dry start with clear spells. Cloud increasing from west from late evening, perhaps bringing some patchy rain to the far west towards dawn, but most staying dry. Strengthening southerly winds. Minimum temperature 1 °C.

Monday:

Dull day with rain, this most persistent and occasionally heavy in the west later in day, with the far east in the best of the shelter. Strong winds. Maximum temperature 11 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Tuesday brings showers, these frequent in Argyll, then gradually improving with Wednesdays showers isolated away from Argyll, then all staying dry for Thursday with good sunny spells developing.

It is likely to be rather more settled across the UK in this period, especially at first. High pressure will sit close to, or over the UK, and will most likely drift away slowly eastwards with time. Consequently, southern and eastern areas are likely to see the driest conditions, with lightest winds, which could lead to overnight frost and fog with temperatures a little below normal. Further north and west, there is a risk of incursions of Atlantic air and fontal systems at times, which would bring some rain here, but with milder temperatures. There is a very low chance that if the high orientates in such a way that a more easterly (rather than southerly/southeasterly) flow develops, a spell of much colder conditions could develop across the UK.

It is most likely that high pressure will dominate at first in some form or another, but there is a weak signal for a more unsettled spell in the second half of the month, before signals become indistinguishable from climatology by the start of March. Temperatures may be below average at first, with overnight frosts, but could return to near average or even rise a little above average later. Rainfall amounts, especially in the south and east are likely to be below average at first, but may return to near-normal values later in the month.