Sugar Loaf (Monmouthshire) weather

Headline:

Heavy rain clearing. Clear spells and showers overnight into Friday.

This Evening and Tonight:

Heaviest rain clearing this evening leaving clear spells and showers overnight, these often heavy and frequent in western areas, more isolated in the east. Staying windy, especially in coastal regions. Turning rather chilly. Minimum temperature 4 °C.

Friday:

Often cloudy with showers, these heavy at times, merging into longer spells of rain. A windy start, but winds easing inland by the afternoon. Feeling rather cold in the wind. Maximum temperature 12 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Sunny spells on Saturday though showers still possible, these mainly in northern and western areas. Mixed on Sunday and Monday with possible showers. Often breezy and feeling rather cold.

Vortex - A changeable start to the period with bands of rain from the Atlantic moving across the country at times. The wettest and windiest conditions are likely to be across the northwest with some decent drier interludes across the south and east. Around the turn of the month or into early November, wetter and windier conditions across the north and west are likely to extend more widely across the country. It is somewhat uncertain when this will occur with high pressure attempting to persist across the southeast maintaining more settled conditions here. Temperatures will be a little below average at the start of the period, likely trending upwards with potential for a mild spell around the turn of the month.

Vortex - Unsettled conditions are most likely during early November with showers or longer spells of rain across all areas at times along with spells of strong winds. Temperatures through this period are overall likely to be around or above average with any colder spells short-lived between weather systems. Into mid-November, while there is an increased chance of more settled spells, the likelihood of whether settled or unsettled conditions are more prevalent are reasonably balanced.