Llanfairfechan (Conwy) weather

Headline:

Staying largely dry and turning warmer later in the weekend.

Today:

A mainly dry, albeit often cloudy day, with a few light showers possible, mainly in the north. After a fresh start, warm sunny intervals are possible, especially in the south. Maximum temperature 21 °C.

Tonight:

Some evening sunshine is possible in the south, but otherwise a fairly cloudy night with the odd light shower possible mainly in the north and west. Not as cool. Minimum temperature 9 °C.

Saturday:

Skies brightening for most but probably remaining cloudier in the west with perhaps a few light showers. A mixture of cloudier periods and warm sunny spells through the afternoon. Maximum temperature 21 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Staying largely dry with a mixture of cloud and sunny periods. Feeling warmer than recent days with temperatures above the late-August average. Showers or rain possible later on Tuesday.

Majority of this period comes with lower than average confidence, even accounting for the long range. This is due to large uncertainties surrounding the behaviour of ex-hurricane Erin at the beginning of the forecast and its subsequent impact on the large scale weather pattern over the UK. Probably beginning fine for the vast majority of areas, but a band of rain, already in or threatening the west, is likely to move slowly east, perhaps preceded by showers in the south. More changeable weather is likely thereafter, possibly even at times unsettled, with more in the way of rain, showers and stronger winds than recently. Starting off warm, especially in the south and east, but temperatures are likely to dip nearer to average for most of the rest of the period.

Most signs indicate low pressure could dominate, and therefore unsettled or changeable weather looks more likely. This brings potential for periods of strong winds and spells of rain, but with spells of fair weather in between. Confidence through this period, however, is low. Temperatures are likely to be near to, or slightly above average overall.