Tolpuddle (Dorset) weather

Headline:

Mild with rain at times through the coming week.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rather wet for many this evening, with a particularly heavy pulse of rain for at time in places. Turning drier for a time overnight with clear spells, but heavy showers returning to western counties by dawn. Breezy at times. Minimum temperature 10 °C.

Monday:

A band of heavy showers will sweep eastwards through the morning, with a chance of thunder. Brighter skies following with sunny intervals and scattered heavy showers. Blustery winds at times. Maximum temperature 13 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Remaining unsettled and mild throughout this period. Further periods of rain are likely, occasionally heavy and persistent for some, but drier and clearer intervals are expected in-between. Windy at times.

The start of this period is likely to be unsettled and mild for most, with slow-moving bands of rain which could be quite heavy and prolonged in some areas. With time, the more unsettled conditions should gradually clear to the south, allowing a colder and more showery northerly flow of sorts to become established. In this setup, showers may be wintry over high ground, and perhaps occasionally to low levels in the far north, with also a greater risk of overnight frost. However, the timing of this transition is rather uncertain, and it could remain milder and wetter into the beginning of the following week, especially in the south. A general downward trend in temperature is most likely through this period, to below average in many areas beyond mid-November.

Whilst the expected weather patterns during late November are very uncertain, there is a greater chance of spells of high pressure during this period, bringing more in the way of dry weather compared to the current weather pattern, which also increases the chances of overnight fog and frost. There will probably still be some spells of rain, showers, and stronger winds though, especially in the west. Hill snow is also a possibility, mainly in the north. Overall, near or slightly above average temperatures are most likely, though some colder spells are also possible, especially should any prolonged settled spells develop.