Dover (Kent) weather

Headline:

Tonight will see a sharp frost in places

This Evening and Tonight:

Largely clear skies at first, before clouding over from the west through the night. A widespread frost likely, sharp across rural parts of Kent and Sussex, elsewhere turning a touch milder under increasing cloud. Light winds. Minimum temperature -4 °C.

Monday:

A cloudy day on Monday with some patchy light rain possible in places during the afternoon. Winds starting to pick up later. Maximum temperature 10 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Windy and cloudy Tuesday, rain later. Dry and bright Wednesday and Thursday with light winds. Overnight frosts becoming widespread by Thursday. Temperatures around average, becoming colder later in the week.

High pressure will sit close to (and probably to the east of) the UK in this period. Consequently, southern and eastern areas are likely to see the driest conditions, with lightest winds, which could lead to overnight frost and fog with temperatures a little below normal. Further north and west, there is a risk of incursions of Atlantic air and fontal systems at times, which would bring some rain here, but with milder temperatures. There is a very low chance that if the high orientates in such a way that a more easterly (rather than southerly/southeasterly) flow develops, a spell of much colder conditions could develop across the UK, with a risk of wintry showers in some parts.

It is most likely that high pressure to the east or northeast of the UK will dominate at first in some form or another, but there is a weak signal for a more unsettled spell in the second half of the month, before signals become indistinguishable from climatology by the start of March. Temperatures may be below average at first, with overnight frosts, but could return to near average or even rise a little above average later. Precipitation amounts, are likely to be below average at first, though a few wintry showers are possible in the east, and perhaps some rain in the west, but amounts may return to near-normal later in the month.